The latest More in Common MRP now shows that Conservatives are projected to retake West Dorset from the Liberal Democrats for the first time since before the 2024 General Election. According to the pollster, who correctly forecast the Lib-Dems to win in 2024, the Liberal Democrats will lose half of all their seats won at the last General Election, including West Dorset, and with their losses split between the Conservatives and other parties.

In West Dorset, the Conservatives are projected to receive 31% of the vote: a lead of 6 percentage points over the Lib-Dems on 25% with Reform coming third at 22%.

Amid growing dissatisfaction with the performance of the Liberal Democrats both nationally and locally highlighted by incumbent MP Lib-Dem Edward Morello who took the seat from the Conservatives in 2024 and is facing mounting criticism for his low attendance record for Parliamentary votes. According to the most recent statistics, he has only attended 57.8% of votes in Parliament leaving 87 votes out of 206 where West Dorset was not represented with a vote - the lowest attendance out of all of the constituency’s MPs since such records began in 1997.

A Spokesperson from West Dorset Conservatives, says of the new poll, “it is clear that people are fed up of this failing Government and ineffective Lib-Dems who fail to show up for nearly half of all votes. Meanwhile, the Conservatives under Kemi Badenoch are working tirelessly nationally and in West Dorset to offer an effective, hard-working, common-sense alternative.”